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22 March 2022

Overview of federal budgetary and financial data up to and including February 2022

Translated extracts from the Federal Ministry of Finance’s March 2022 monthly report

Federal budget trends up to and including February 2022

Table: Trends in the federal budget

Expenditure (€bn)²

556.6

79.8

Year-on-year change in % (year to date)

 

-11.0

Revenue (€bn)³

341.0

51.1

Year-on-year change in % (year to date)

 

35.5

Tax revenue (€bn)

313.5

47.7

Year-on-year change in % (year to date)

 

37.2

Balance of pass-through funds (€bn)

0.0

0.0

Fiscal balance (€bn)

-215.6

-28.7

Financing/use of surplus:

215.6

28.7

Cash resources (€bn)

-

22.7

Seigniorage (€bn)

0.2

0.0

Movements in reserves⁴ (€bn)

0

0.0

Net borrowing⁵ (€bn)

215.4

6.1

Any discrepancies in totals are due to rounding.
¹ As per accounts.
² With the exception of expenditure on the repayment of debt incurred on the credit market, allocations to reserves and expenditure made to cover a cash deficit. Excluding expenditure from internal offsetting.
³ With the exception of revenue from loans on the credit market, withdrawals from reserves, revenue from cash surpluses and seigniorage. Excluding revenue from internal offsetting.
⁴ Negative values denote accumulation of reserves.
⁵ (-) debt repayment; (+) borrowing
Source: Federal Ministry of Finance

Actual 2021

Actual¹

January–February 2022

Until the 2022 budget has been adopted by the German Bundestag and promulgated in the Federal Law Gazette, the German government is working on the basis of an interim budget, which is based primarily on Article 111 of the Basic Law (see the article “Vorläufige Haushaltsführung 2022” (“2022 Interim Budget Management”) in the German version of the January 2022 monthly report). Given that the targets for the 2022 federal budget have not been determined, no target values are included in the following tables.

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Revenue

Federal revenue in the first two months of 2022 totalled approximately €51.1bn, up by 35.5% (about €13.4bn) on the year. Tax receipts (taking into account transfers of own resources to the EU) increased by 37.2% (roughly €12.9bn) on the year. The yield from value added taxes was up by 44.9% (approximately €7.7bn) on the year. Revenue from income tax and corporation tax rose by 9.8% (about €1.7bn). Receipts from the solidarity surcharge declined by 34.9% (roughly €0.6bn). Payments to the EU (GNI-based own resources and VAT-based own resources) were down by about €3.8bn on the year, which also contributed to the increase in tax revenue.

Other revenue recorded a year-on-year rise of 15.7% (approximately €0.5bn), which can be attributed primarily to higher revenue from EU Structural Fund contributions.

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Expenditure

Federal expenditure in the first two months of 2022 totalled approximately €79.8bn, 11.0% (about €9.9bn) lower than in the same period last year. A breakdown by economic category shows that the lower spending is primarily the result of a drop in consumption spending, which was down by 7.2% (about €5.7bn). Ongoing grants to social security funds declined by 6.0% (approximately €2.3bn). The baseline was affected by a one-off €3.0bn disbursement to the health fund’s liquidity reserves that was made in January 2021 for a programme to future-proof hospitals. Subsidies to businesses fell by 43.0% (about €4.5bn) on the year. Assistance to businesses affected by the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic amounted to roughly €1.5bn in the first two months of 2022, compared with approximately €6.2bn in the same period last year.

Investment spending totalled about €5.3bn in the first two months of 2022, down by 43.8% (roughly €4.2bn) on the year. This can be attributed primarily to a €3.5bn year-on-year decline in liquidity assistance provided to the Federal Employment Agency. At the end of the 2021 budget year, the assistance granted over the course of the year that was not repaid by the end of the budget year was converted into a subsidy for the Federal Employment Agency. Fixed asset investment was approximately €0.1bn below last year’s level.

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Budget balance

The federal budget recorded a deficit of approximately €28.7bn for the January–February 2022 period.

Revenue and expenditure are subject to strong fluctuations over the course of the fiscal year and thus have an uneven effect on cash funds in individual months. Net borrowing also tends to fluctuate considerably over the course of the year. This means that the fiscal balance at any given point in the year and the corresponding net borrowing figures are not reliable indicators of the end-of-year figures for the fiscal balance and net borrowing. This is especially true towards the start of the year. It should also be borne in mind that an interim budget is currently in place.

Trends in federal expenditure by function

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Trends in federal expenditure by economic category

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Trends in federal revenue

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Tax revenue in February 2022

2022 trends in tax revenue (excluding local authority taxes)

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Total tax revenue (excluding local authority taxes) was up by 15.5% on the year in February 2022. This is primarily a result of the 18.4% year-on-year rise in revenue from joint taxes. Revenue from value added taxes posted particularly strong growth. However, this is mainly attributable to the low 2021 baseline, which was a result of (a) the temporary cut in VAT rates in the second half of 2020 and (b) the option of a reduction in special prepayments. Wages tax, assessed income tax and non-assessed taxes on earnings also posted significant year-on-year revenue growth. Receipts from federal taxes in February 2022 rose by 2.4% on the year, while receipts from taxes accruing to the Länder rose by 11.7%.

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EU own resources

Transfers of own resources to the EU, including customs duties, were down by approximately €2.4bn (37.0%) on the year in February 2022. In general, monthly requisitions are based on the annual EU budget that is in force for the respective year and are distributed relatively evenly across individual months, although requisitions tend to be higher early in the year based on the EU’s financing needs. This effect was less marked in February 2022 than in February last year. Because this year’s annual budget is similar to last year’s budget in terms of volume, requisitions in later months can in turn be expected to be somewhat higher than in the equivalent months of 2021.

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Overview of the January–February 2022 period

In the first two months of 2022, total tax receipts were up by 18.7% on the year. Revenue from joint taxes rose by 22.0%, while receipts from taxes accruing solely to the Federation declined by 0.9%. Revenue from taxes accruing solely to the Länder grew by 16.6%.

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Distribution among the Federation, Länder and local authorities

The Federation’s tax receipts (after accounting for supplementary federal grants to the Länder) were up by 34.2% on the year in February 2022. The discrepancy between this figure and the rise in total tax receipts (excluding local authority taxes) is largely due to the significantly lower federal transfers of EU own resources (see above). The Federation’s take from joint taxes grew by 21.4%. This was higher than the 18.4% increase in overall revenue from joint taxes due to the fact that, once again, VAT revenue shifted in the Federation’s favour, although this effect is only moderate at this point (see the article on tax revenue in January 2022 in the February issue of the Federal Finance Ministry’s monthly report). Other trends in February 2022: revenue from taxes accruing solely to the Federation was up by 2.4% on the year. However, supplementary federal grants to the Länder and federal subsidies to the Länder for public transport recorded year-on-year increases.

Länder tax receipts posted a strong year-on-year gain of 15.5% in February 2022. Total Länder revenue from joint taxes increased noticeably (by 17.2%), especially revenue from value added taxes (up by 27.3%). Moreover, the yield from taxes that accrue exclusively to the Länder posted significant growth of 11.7%. Mirroring the higher payments made by the Federation, the Länder saw an increase in receipts from supplementary federal grants (up by 4.0%) and from federal subsidies for public transport (up by 9.0%).

Local authorities’ take from their share of joint taxes was 8.1% higher than in the same period last year. Local authorities’ receipts from value added taxes were up by 3.0% on the year.

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Joint taxes

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Wages tax

Gross revenue from wages tax was up by 7.0% in year-on-year terms in February 2022. This upward trend primarily reflects the marked improvement in labour market conditions compared with February 2021, especially the significant decline in short-time working. Child benefit payments – which are financed from wages tax receipts – declined by 0.7% on the year. Overall, cash receipts from wages tax posted a year-on-year gain of 8.3% in February 2022. In cumulative terms, cash receipts from wages tax were up by 9.5% on the year in the first two months of 2022.

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Corporation tax

Gross receipts from corporation tax fell by €0.8bn (72.5%) on the year in February 2022. Year-on-year tax revenue fluctuations of this kind are common. Research and investment allowances were financed from this amount. On balance, these payments totalled approximately €6.5m and thus had only a minimal impact on cash receipts from corporation tax. Total cash receipts from corporation tax were down by €0.8bn (73.1%) on the year in February 2022. In cumulative terms, cash receipts from corporation tax fell by €0.8bn (31.4%) on the year in the first two months of 2022.

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Assessed income tax

Gross receipts from assessed income tax rose by 42.7% on the year in February 2022. Here, too, revenue was mainly generated from assessment activities. Significant year-on-year fluctuations are not unusual. Employee refunds (which are subtracted from the gross figure) were down by 9.0% on the year. Investment allowance payments, research allowance payments and owner-occupied homes premiums, which are insignificant in terms of amount, are also subtracted from the gross figure. On balance, cash receipts from assessed income tax were up by 82.4% on the year in February 2022. In cumulative terms, cash receipts from assessed income tax were up by 43.5% on the year in the first two months of 2022.

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Non-assessed taxes on earnings

Gross receipts from non-assessed taxes on earnings recorded a 35.9% year-on-year rise in February 2022. Refunds by the Federal Central Tax Office, which are financed from gross revenue, totalled about €75m (up by 1.0% on the year). Overall, cash receipts from non-assessed taxes on earnings were up by 39.6% in February 2022 compared with the same month last year. Cumulatively, cash receipts from non-assessed taxes on earnings were up by 21.0% on the year in the first two months of 2022.

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Final withholding tax on interest and capital gains

In February 2022, revenue from final withholding tax on interest and capital gains was 22.6% lower than in the same month last year. Taken cumulatively, cash receipts from final withholding tax on interest and capital gains were down by 15.8% on the year in the first two months of 2022.

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Value added taxes

Revenue from value added taxes was up by 30.2% on the year in February 2022. Receipts from domestic VAT grew by 26.9% on the year. Receipts from import VAT were up by 66.5%. As a result of the long-term extensions for filing VAT returns and paying VAT, cash receipts from domestic VAT in the month of February are, in general, significantly impacted by revenue from the previous December. It is therefore worth noting that cash receipts from value added taxes were low in February 2021 due to the temporary cut in VAT rates in the second half of 2020, which affected the December 2020 figure. Moreover, businesses affected by the Covid-19 pandemic were able to lower their special VAT prepayments in February 2021, which further reduced the baseline figure. Furthermore, import VAT revenue was negatively impacted to varying degrees in both Feb 2022 and Feb 2021 because the deadline for remitting tax to the authorities is the 26th of each month; this means that, in February, part of the revenue is not recorded until the following month due to the time needed for processing. Moreover, the year-on-year VAT revenue trends also reflect the marked economic recovery that occurred over the course of 2021. Cumulatively, cash receipts from value added taxes were up by 37.8% on the year in the first two months of 2022.

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Taxes accruing to the Federation

In February 2022, revenue from taxes accruing solely to the Federation was up by 2.4% compared with the same month last year. Revenue from the solidarity surcharge was down by 3.1% on the year. Revenue losses were also recorded for tobacco duty (down by 13.6%), motor vehicle tax (down by 5.4%) and alcohol duty (down by 2.8%). Other taxes posted year-on-year revenue gains, some of them significant: electricity duty (up by 22.5%), energy duty (up by 0.4%), insurance tax (up by 6.0%) and aviation tax (up by 34.9%). In the case of electricity duty and aviation tax, this can be attributed primarily to a relatively low baseline figure for 2021. Trends in revenue from other taxes had only a minor impact on overall receipts from federal taxes.

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Taxes accruing to the Länder

Receipts from taxes accruing solely to the Länder were up by 11.7% on the year in February 2022. Taxes recording revenue gains included real property transfer tax (up by 5.9%), inheritance tax (up by 22.4%), fire protection tax (up by 1.5%) and betting and lottery tax (up by 30.1%). The increase in receipts from betting and lottery tax was mainly due to proceeds from the new online poker tax and virtual slots tax, which have been levied since 1 July 2021. Receipts from beer duty fell by 12.6% on the year.

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Borrowing and guarantees

Borrowing trends for the Federation in February 2022

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Borrowing trends for the Federation (budget and special funds, excluding loan financing) in February 2022

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Borrowing trends for the Federation (loan financing) in February 2022

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Guarantees

  

Authorised amount

Amount allocated as of
31 December 2021

Amount allocated as of
31 December 2020

in €bn

Export credit guarantees

155.0

126.9

125.6

Loans to foreign debtors, foreign direct investment, EIB loans

75.0

35.7

40.6

Financial cooperation projects

35.0

31.9

28.6

Food stockpiling

0.7

0.0

0.0

Domestic guarantees

430.0

312.3

273.2

International financial institutions

110.0

68.6

68.6

Treuhandanstalt successor organisations

1.0

1.0

1.0

Interest compensation guarantees

15.0

15.0

15.0

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Calendar

Publication schedule¹ of the monthly reports

April 2022 issue

March 2022

22 April 2022

May 2022 issue

April 2022

20 May 2022

June 2022 issue

May 2022

21 June 2022

July 2022 issue

June 2022

21 July 2022

August 2022 issue

July 2022

19 August 2022

September 2022 issue

August 2022

22 September 2022

October 2022 issue

September 2022

20 October 2022

November 2022 issue

October 2022

22 November 2022

December 2022 issue

November 2022

22 December 2022

¹ In accordance with the IMF’s Special Data Dissemination Standard Plus (SDDS Plus); see http://dsbb.imf.org

Source: Federal Ministry of Finance

Monthly report

Reporting period

Publication date

Key dates on the fiscal and economic policy agenda

4–5 April 2022

Eurogroup and ECOFIN Council meetings in Brussels, Belgium

18–24 April 2022

Spring meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Washington, D.C., USA

21–23 April 2022

Meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors in Washington, D.C., USA

18–20 May 2022

Meeting of G7 finance ministers and central bank governors in Bonn and Königswinter, Germany

23–24 May 2022

Eurogroup and ECOFIN Council meetings in Brussels, Belgium

16–17 June 2022

Eurogroup and ECOFIN Council meetings in Luxembourg

11–12 July 2022

Eurogroup and ECOFIN Council meetings in Brussels, Belgium

Due to the coronavirus pandemic, dates and the format of meetings will be specified at short notice prior to the respective meetings.